Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia

Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations

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dc.contributor.author Chen, G.
dc.contributor.author Guo, Y.
dc.contributor.author Yue, X.
dc.contributor.author Tong, S.
dc.contributor.author Gasparrini, A.
dc.contributor.author Bell, M.L.
dc.contributor.author Armstrong, B.
dc.contributor.author Schwartz, J.
dc.contributor.author Jaakkola, J.J.K.
dc.contributor.author Zanobetti, A.
dc.contributor.author Lavigne, E.
dc.contributor.author Nascimento Saldiva, P.H.
dc.contributor.author Kan, H.
dc.contributor.author Royé, D.
dc.contributor.author Milojevic, A.
dc.contributor.author Overcenco, A.
dc.contributor.author Urban, A.
dc.contributor.author Schneider, A.
dc.contributor.author Entezari, A.
dc.contributor.author Vicedo-Cabrera, A.M.
dc.contributor.author Zeka, A.
dc.contributor.author Tobias, A.
dc.contributor.author Nunes, B.
dc.contributor.author Alahmad, B.
dc.contributor.author Forsberg, B.
dc.contributor.author Pan, S.-C.
dc.contributor.author Íñiguez, C.
dc.contributor.author Ameling, C.
dc.contributor.author De la Cruz Valencia, C.
dc.contributor.author Åström, C.
dc.contributor.author Houthuijs, D.
dc.contributor.author Van Dung, D.
dc.contributor.author Samoli, E.
dc.contributor.author Mayvaneh, F.
dc.contributor.author Sera, F.
dc.contributor.author Carrasco Escobar, Gabriel
dc.contributor.author Lei, Y.
dc.contributor.author Orru, H.
dc.contributor.author Kim, H.
dc.contributor.author Holobaca, I.-H.
dc.contributor.author Kyselý, J.
dc.contributor.author Teixeira, J.P.
dc.contributor.author Madureira, J.
dc.contributor.author Katsouyanni, K.
dc.contributor.author Hurtado-Díaz, M.
dc.contributor.author Maasikmets, M.
dc.contributor.author Ragettli, M.S.
dc.contributor.author Hashizume, M.
dc.contributor.author Stafoggia, M.
dc.contributor.author Pascal, M.
dc.contributor.author Scortichini, M.
dc.contributor.author de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coêlho, M.
dc.contributor.author Valdés Ortega, N.
dc.contributor.author Ryti, N.R.I.
dc.contributor.author Scovronick, N.
dc.contributor.author Matus, P.
dc.contributor.author Goodman, P.
dc.contributor.author Garland, R.M.
dc.contributor.author Abrutzky, R.
dc.contributor.author Garcia, S.O.
dc.contributor.author Rao, S.
dc.contributor.author Fratianni, S.
dc.contributor.author Dang, T.N.
dc.contributor.author Colistro, V.
dc.contributor.author Huber, V.
dc.contributor.author Lee, W.
dc.contributor.author Seposo, X.
dc.contributor.author Honda, Y.
dc.contributor.author Guo, Y.L.
dc.contributor.author Ye, T.
dc.contributor.author Yu, W.
dc.contributor.author Abramson, M.J.
dc.contributor.author Samet, J.M.
dc.contributor.author Li, S.
dc.date.accessioned 2021-12-12T20:24:59Z
dc.date.available 2021-12-12T20:24:59Z
dc.date.issued 2021
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/10308
dc.description.abstract BACKGROUND: Many regions of the world are now facing more frequent and unprecedentedly large wildfires. However, the association between wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality has not been well characterised. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality across various regions of the world. METHODS: For this time series study, data on daily counts of deaths for all causes, cardiovascular causes, and respiratory causes were collected from 749 cities in 43 countries and regions during 2000-16. Daily concentrations of wildfire-related PM2·5 were estimated using the three-dimensional chemical transport model GEOS-Chem at a 0·25° × 0·25° resolution. The association between wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure and mortality was examined using a quasi-Poisson time series model in each city considering both the current-day and lag effects, and the effect estimates were then pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. Based on these pooled effect estimates, the population attributable fraction and relative risk (RR) of annual mortality due to acute wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure was calculated. FINDINGS: 65·6 million all-cause deaths, 15·1 million cardiovascular deaths, and 6·8 million respiratory deaths were included in our analyses. The pooled RRs of mortality associated with each 10 μg/m3 increase in the 3-day moving average (lag 0-2 days) of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure were 1·019 (95% CI 1·016-1·022) for all-cause mortality, 1·017 (1·012-1·021) for cardiovascular mortality, and 1·019 (1·013-1·025) for respiratory mortality. Overall, 0·62% (95% CI 0·48-0·75) of all-cause deaths, 0·55% (0·43-0·67) of cardiovascular deaths, and 0·64% (0·50-0·78) of respiratory deaths were annually attributable to the acute impacts of wildfire-related PM2·5 exposure during the study period. INTERPRETATION: Short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 was associated with increased risk of mortality. Urgent action is needed to reduce health risks from the increasing wildfires en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Elsevier
dc.relation.ispartofseries Lancet. Planetary Health
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject all cause mortality en_US
dc.subject article en_US
dc.subject cardiovascular mortality en_US
dc.subject city en_US
dc.subject controlled study en_US
dc.subject health hazard en_US
dc.subject human en_US
dc.subject medical research en_US
dc.subject meta analysis en_US
dc.subject mortality risk en_US
dc.subject public health en_US
dc.subject risk assessment en_US
dc.subject risk factor en_US
dc.subject short term exposure en_US
dc.subject time series analysis en_US
dc.subject wildfire en_US
dc.title Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time series study in 749 locations en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00200-X
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.03.05
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.03.02
dc.relation.issn 2542-5196


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