Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia

Climatic Variability and Human Leptospirosis Cases in Cartagena, Colombia: A 10-Year Ecological Study.

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dc.contributor.author Cano-Pérez, Eder
dc.contributor.author Loyola Sosa, Steev Orlando
dc.contributor.author Espitia-Almeida, Fabián
dc.contributor.author Torres-Pacheco, Jaison
dc.contributor.author Malambo-García, Dacia
dc.contributor.author Gómez-Camargo, Doris
dc.date.accessioned 2022-02-01T21:18:26Z
dc.date.available 2022-02-01T21:18:26Z
dc.date.issued 2021
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/11268
dc.description.abstract Leptospirosis is an acute febrile disease that mainly affects developing countries with tropical climates. The complexity and magnitude of this disease is attributed to socioeconomic, climatic, and environmental conditions. In this study, in a 10-year period from 2008 to 2017, the relationship between human leptospirosis cases and climatic factors in Cartagena de Indias, Colombia were evaluated. Monthly leptospirosis cases, climatic variables, and macroclimatic phenomena (El Niño and La Niña) were obtained from public datasets. Local climatic factors included temperature (maximum, average, and minimum), relative humidity, precipitation, and the number of precipitation days. Time series graphs were drawn and correlations between cases of leptospirosis and climatic variables considering lags from 0 to 10 months were examined. A total of 360 cases of leptospirosis were reported in Cartagena during the study period, of which 192 (53.3%) were systematically notified between October and December. Several correlations were detected between the number of cases, local climatic variables, and macroclimatic phenomena. Mainly, the increase of cases correlated with increased precipitation and humidity during the La Niña periods. Herein, seasonal patterns and correlations suggest that the climate in Cartagena could favor the incidence of leptospirosis. Our findings suggest that prevention and control of human leptospirosis in Cartagena should be promoted and strengthened, especially in the last quarter of the year. en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
dc.relation.ispartofseries American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (ASTMH Journal)
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject Climatic Variability en_US
dc.subject Human Leptospirosis en_US
dc.subject Cartagena en_US
dc.subject Colombia en_US
dc.subject Ecological Study en_US
dc.title Climatic Variability and Human Leptospirosis Cases in Cartagena, Colombia: A 10-Year Ecological Study. en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.21-0890
dc.relation.issn 1476-1645


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