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Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study.

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dc.contributor.author Tobías, Aurelio
dc.contributor.author Hashizume, Masahiro
dc.contributor.author Honda, Yasushi
dc.contributor.author Sera, Francesco
dc.contributor.author Ng, Chris Fook Sheng
dc.contributor.author Kim, Yoonhee
dc.contributor.author Roye, Dominic
dc.contributor.author Chung, Yeonseung
dc.contributor.author Dang, Tran Ngoc
dc.contributor.author Kim, Ho
dc.contributor.author Lee, Whanhee
dc.contributor.author Íñiguez, Carmen
dc.contributor.author Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana
dc.contributor.author Abrutzky, Rosana
dc.contributor.author Guo, Yuming
dc.contributor.author Tong, Shilu
dc.contributor.author Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio
dc.contributor.author Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento
dc.contributor.author Lavigne, Eric
dc.contributor.author Correa, Patricia Matus
dc.contributor.author Valdés Ortega, Nicolás
dc.contributor.author Kan, Haidong
dc.contributor.author Osorio, Samuel
dc.contributor.author Kyselý, Jan
dc.contributor.author Urban, Aleš
dc.contributor.author Orru, Hans
dc.contributor.author Indermitte, Ene
dc.contributor.author Jaakkola, Jouni J. K.
dc.contributor.author Ryti, Niilo R. I.
dc.contributor.author Pascal, Mathilde
dc.contributor.author Huber, Veronika
dc.contributor.author Schneider, Alexandra
dc.contributor.author Katsouyanni, Klea
dc.contributor.author Analitis, Antonis
dc.contributor.author Entezari, Alireza
dc.contributor.author Mayvaneh, Fatemeh
dc.contributor.author Goodman, Patrick
dc.contributor.author Zeka, Ariana
dc.contributor.author Michelozzi, Paola
dc.contributor.author de'Donato, Francesca
dc.contributor.author Alahmad, Barrak
dc.contributor.author Diaz, Magali Hurtado
dc.contributor.author De la Cruz Valencia, César
dc.contributor.author Overcenco, Ala
dc.contributor.author Houthuijs, Danny
dc.contributor.author Ameling, Caroline
dc.contributor.author Rao, Shilpa
dc.contributor.author Di Ruscio, Francesco
dc.contributor.author Carrasco Escobar, Gabriel
dc.contributor.author Seposo, Xerxes
dc.contributor.author Nunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.author Madureira, Joana
dc.contributor.author Holobaca, Iulian-Horia
dc.contributor.author Scovronick, Noah
dc.contributor.author Acquaotta, Fiorella
dc.contributor.author Forsberg, Bertil
dc.contributor.author Åström, Christofer
dc.contributor.author Ragettli, Martina S.
dc.contributor.author Guo, Yue-Liang Leon
dc.contributor.author Chen, Bing-Yu
dc.contributor.author Li, Shanshan
dc.contributor.author Colistro, Valentina
dc.contributor.author Zanobetti, Antonella
dc.contributor.author Schwartz, Joel
dc.contributor.author Dung, Do Van
dc.contributor.author Armstrong, Ben
dc.contributor.author Gasparrini, Antonio
dc.date.accessioned 2022-02-01T21:18:29Z
dc.date.available 2022-02-01T21:18:29Z
dc.date.issued 2021
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/11339
dc.description.abstract BACKGROUND: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. METHODS: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. RESULTS: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. CONCLUSIONS: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Wolters Kluwer Health
dc.relation.ispartofseries Environmental Epidemiology
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject Adaptation en_US
dc.subject Time-series en_US
dc.subject Climate en_US
dc.subject Distributed lag nonlinear models en_US
dc.subject Minimum mortality temperature en_US
dc.subject Multi-city en_US
dc.subject Multi-country en_US
dc.title Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study. en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.03.09
dc.relation.issn 2474-7882


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