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Projected decrease in trail access in the Arctic

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dc.contributor.author Ford, J.D.
dc.contributor.author Clark, D.G.
dc.contributor.author Copland, L.
dc.contributor.author Pearce, T.
dc.contributor.author Ford, James D.
dc.contributor.author Harper, Sherilee
dc.contributor.author Ford, Lea Berrang
dc.contributor.author Cárcamo Cavagnaro, César Paul Eugenio
dc.contributor.author Garcia Funegra, Patricia Jannet
dc.contributor.author Lwasa, Shuaib
dc.contributor.author Namanya, Didacus
dc.contributor.author New, Mark
dc.contributor.author Zavaleta Cortijo, Claudia Carol
dc.contributor.author Harper, S.L.
dc.contributor.author IHACC Research Team
dc.coverage.spatial Norte de Canadá
dc.date.accessioned 2023-03-23T15:49:33Z
dc.date.available 2023-03-23T15:49:33Z
dc.date.issued 2023
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/13276
dc.description.abstract Transportation systems in northern Canada are highly sensitive to climate change. We project how access to semi-permanent trails on land, water, and sea ice might change this century in Inuit Nunangat (the Inuit homeland in northern Canada), using CMIP6 projections coupled with trail access models developed with community members. Overall trail access is projected to diminish, with large declines in access for sea ice trails which play a central role for Inuit livelihoods and culture; limits to adaptation in southern regions of Inuit Nunangat within the next 40 years; a lengthening of the period when no trails are accessible; and an unequal distribution of impacts according to the knowledge, skills, equipment, and risk tolerance of trail users. There are opportunities for adaptation through efforts to develop skillsets and confidence in travelling in more marginal environmental conditions, which can considerably extend the envelope of days when trails are accessible and months when this is possible. Such actions could reduce impacts across emissions scenarios but their potential effectiveness declines at higher levels of global warming, and in southern regions only delays when sea ice trails become unusable. en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Springer Nature
dc.relation.ispartofseries Communications Earth and Environment
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject Climate-change adaptation en_US
dc.subject Environmental studies en_US
dc.subject trail access en_US
dc.subject the Artic en_US
dc.subject.mesh Cambio Climático
dc.subject.mesh Investigación Ambiental
dc.title Projected decrease in trail access in the Arctic en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00685-w
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#1.05.01
dc.relation.issn 2662-4435


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