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Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

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dc.contributor.author Zhou, Bin
dc.contributor.author Lu, Yuan
dc.contributor.author Hajifathalian, Kaveh
dc.contributor.author Bentham, James
dc.contributor.author Di Cesare, Mariachiara
dc.contributor.author Danaei, Goodarz
dc.contributor.author Bixby, Honor
dc.contributor.author Cowan, Melanie J.
dc.contributor.author Ali, Mohammed K.
dc.contributor.author Taddei, Cristina
dc.contributor.author Lo, Wei-Cheng
dc.contributor.author Reis-Santos, Barbara
dc.contributor.author Stevens, Gretchen A.
dc.contributor.author Riley, Leanne M.
dc.contributor.author Miranda, J. Jaime
dc.contributor.author Bjerregaard, Peter
dc.contributor.author Rivera, Juan A.
dc.contributor.author Fouad, Heba M.
dc.contributor.author Ma, Guansheng
dc.contributor.author Mbanya, Jean Claude N.
dc.contributor.author McGarvey, Stephen T.
dc.contributor.author Mohan, Viswanathan
dc.contributor.author Onat, Altan
dc.contributor.author Ramachandran, Ambady
dc.contributor.author Ben Romdhane, Habiba
dc.contributor.author Paciorek, Christopher J.
dc.contributor.author Bennett, James E.
dc.contributor.author Ezzati, Majid
dc.contributor.author Abdeen, Ziad A.
dc.contributor.author Kadir, Khalid Abdul
dc.contributor.author Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.
dc.contributor.author Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin
dc.contributor.author Adams, Robert
dc.contributor.author Aekplakorn, Wichai
dc.contributor.author Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A.
dc.contributor.author Agyemang, Charles
dc.contributor.author Ahmadvand, Alireza
dc.contributor.author Al-Othman, Amani Rashed
dc.contributor.author Alkerwi, Ala'a
dc.contributor.author Amouyel, Philippe
dc.contributor.author Amuzu, Antoinette
dc.contributor.author Andersen, Lars Bo
dc.contributor.author Anderssen, Sigmund A.
dc.contributor.author Anjana, Ranjit Mohan
dc.contributor.author Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer
dc.contributor.author Aris, Tahir
dc.contributor.author Arlappa, Nimmathota
dc.contributor.author Arveiler, Dominique
dc.contributor.author Assah, Felix K.
dc.contributor.author Avdicova, Maria
dc.contributor.author Azizi, Fereidoun
dc.contributor.author Balakrishna, Nagalla
dc.contributor.author Bandosz, Piotr
dc.contributor.author Barbagallo, Carlo M.
dc.contributor.author Barcelo, Alberto
dc.contributor.author Batieha, Anwar M.
dc.contributor.author Baur, Louise A.
dc.contributor.author Ben Romdhane, Habiba
dc.contributor.author Benet, Mikhail
dc.contributor.author Bernabé Ortiz, Antonio
dc.contributor.author Bharadwaj, Sumit
dc.contributor.author Bhargava, Santosh K.
dc.contributor.author Bi, Yufang
dc.contributor.author Bjerregaard, Peter
dc.contributor.author Bjertness, Espen
dc.contributor.author Bjertness, Marius B.
dc.contributor.author Bjorkelund, Cecilia
dc.contributor.author Blokstra, Anneke
dc.contributor.author Bo, Simona
dc.contributor.author Boehm, Bernhard O.
dc.contributor.author Boissonnet, Carlos P.
dc.contributor.author Bovet, Pascal
dc.contributor.author Brajkovich, Imperia
dc.contributor.author Breckenkamp, Juergen
dc.contributor.author Brenner, Hermann
dc.contributor.author Brewster, Lizzy M.
dc.contributor.author Brian, Garry R.
dc.contributor.author Bruno, Graziella
dc.contributor.author Bugge, Anna
dc.contributor.author Cabrera de Leon, Antonio
dc.contributor.author Can, Gunay
dc.contributor.author Candido, Ana Paula C.
dc.contributor.author Capuano, Vincenzo
dc.contributor.author Carlsson, Axel C.
dc.contributor.author Carvalho, Maria J.
dc.contributor.author Casanueva, Felipe F.
dc.contributor.author Casas, Juan-Pablo
dc.contributor.author Caserta, Carmelo A.
dc.contributor.author Castetbon, Katia
dc.contributor.author Chamukuttan, Snehalatha
dc.contributor.author Chaturvedi, Nishi
dc.contributor.author Chen, Chien-Jen
dc.contributor.author Chen, Fangfang
dc.contributor.author Chen, Shuohua
dc.contributor.author Cheng, Ching-Yu
dc.contributor.author Chetrit, Angela
dc.contributor.author Chiou, Shu-Ti
dc.contributor.author Cho, Yumi
dc.contributor.author Chudek, Jerzy
dc.contributor.author Cifkova, Renata
dc.contributor.author Claessens, Frank
dc.contributor.author Concin, Hans
dc.contributor.author Cooper, Cyrus
dc.contributor.author Cooper, Rachel
dc.contributor.author Costanzo, Simona
dc.contributor.author Cottel, Dominique
dc.contributor.author Cowell, Chris
dc.contributor.author Crujeiras, Ana B.
dc.contributor.author D'Arrigo, Graziella
dc.contributor.author Dallongeville, Jean
dc.contributor.author Dankner, Rachel
dc.contributor.author Dauchet, Luc
dc.contributor.author de Gaetano, Giovanni
dc.contributor.author De Henauw, Stefaan
dc.contributor.author Deepa, Mohan
dc.contributor.author Dehghan, Abbas
dc.contributor.author Deschamps, Valerie
dc.contributor.author Dhana, Klodian
dc.contributor.author Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F.
dc.contributor.author Djalalinia, Shirin
dc.contributor.author Doua, Kouamelan
dc.contributor.author Drygas, Wojciech
dc.contributor.author Du, Yong
dc.contributor.author Dzerve, Vilnis
dc.contributor.author Egbagbe, Eruke E.
dc.contributor.author Eggertsen, Robert
dc.contributor.author El Ati, Jalila
dc.contributor.author Elosua, Roberto
dc.contributor.author Erasmus, Rajiv T.
dc.contributor.author Erem, Cihangir
dc.contributor.author Ergor, Gul
dc.contributor.author Eriksen, Louise
dc.contributor.author Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge
dc.contributor.author Fall, Caroline H.
dc.contributor.author Farzadfar, Farshad
dc.contributor.author Felix-Redondo, Francisco J.
dc.contributor.author Ferguson, Trevor S.
dc.contributor.author Fernandez-Berges, Daniel
dc.contributor.author Ferrari, Marika
dc.contributor.author Ferreccio, Catterina
dc.contributor.author Feskens, Edith J. M.
dc.contributor.author Finn, Joseph D.
dc.contributor.author Foeger, Bernhard
dc.contributor.author Foo, Leng Huat
dc.contributor.author Forslund, Ann-Sofie
dc.contributor.author Fouad, Heba M.
dc.contributor.author Francis, Damian K.
dc.contributor.author Franco, Maria do Carmo
dc.contributor.author Franco, Oscar H.
dc.contributor.author Frontera, Guillermo
dc.contributor.author Furusawa, Takuro
dc.contributor.author Gaciong, Zbigniew
dc.contributor.author Garnett, Sarah P.
dc.contributor.author Gaspoz, Jean-Michel
dc.contributor.author Gasull, Magda
dc.contributor.author Gates, Louise
dc.contributor.author Geleijnse, Johanna M.
dc.contributor.author Ghasemian, Anoosheh
dc.contributor.author Ghimire, Anup
dc.contributor.author Giampaoli, Simona
dc.contributor.author Gianfagna, Francesco
dc.contributor.author Giovannelli, Jonathan
dc.contributor.author Giwercman, Aleksander
dc.contributor.author Gonzalez Gross, Marcela
dc.contributor.author Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P.
dc.contributor.author Bonet Gorbea, Mariano
dc.contributor.author Gottrand, Frederic
dc.contributor.author Grafnetter, Dusan
dc.contributor.author Grodzicki, Tomasz
dc.contributor.author Grontved, Anders
dc.contributor.author Gruden, Grabriella
dc.contributor.author Gu, Dongfeng
dc.contributor.author Guan, Ong Peng
dc.contributor.author Guerrero, Ramiro
dc.contributor.author Guessous, Idris
dc.contributor.author Guimaraes, Andre L.
dc.contributor.author Gutierrez, Laura
dc.contributor.author Hambleton, Ian R.
dc.contributor.author Hardy, Rebecca
dc.contributor.author Kumar, Rachakulla Hari
dc.contributor.author Hata, Jun
dc.contributor.author Heidemann, Christin
dc.contributor.author Herrala, Sauli
dc.contributor.author Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani
dc.contributor.author Ho, Sai Yin
dc.contributor.author Ho, Suzanne C.
dc.contributor.author Hofman, Albert
dc.contributor.author Hormiga, Claudia M.
dc.contributor.author Horta, Bernardo L.
dc.contributor.author Houti, Leila
dc.contributor.author Howitt, Christina
dc.contributor.author Htay, Thein Thein
dc.contributor.author Htet, Aung Soe
dc.contributor.author Htike, Maung Maung Than
dc.contributor.author Htike, Maung Maung Than
dc.contributor.author Hu, Yang
dc.contributor.author Hussieni, Abdullatif S.
dc.contributor.author Huybrechts, Inge
dc.contributor.author Hwalla, Nahla
dc.contributor.author Iacoviello, Licia
dc.contributor.author Iannone, Anna G.
dc.contributor.author Ibrahim, M. Mohsen
dc.contributor.author Ikeda, Nayu
dc.contributor.author Ikram, M. Arfan
dc.contributor.author Irazola, Vilma E.
dc.contributor.author Islam, Muhammad
dc.contributor.author Iwasaki, Masanori
dc.contributor.author Jacobs, Jeremy M.
dc.contributor.author Jafar, Tazeen
dc.contributor.author Jamil, Kazi M.
dc.contributor.author Jasienska, Grazyna
dc.contributor.author Jiang, Chao Qiang
dc.contributor.author Jonas, Jost B.
dc.contributor.author Joshi, Pradeep
dc.contributor.author Kafatos, Anthony
dc.contributor.author Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra
dc.contributor.author Kasaeian, Amir
dc.contributor.author Katz, Joanne
dc.contributor.author Kaur, Prabhdeep
dc.contributor.author Kavousi, Maryam
dc.contributor.author Kelishadi, Roya
dc.contributor.author Kengne, Andre P.
dc.contributor.author Kersting, Mathilde
dc.contributor.author Khader, Yousef Saleh
dc.contributor.author Khalili, Davood
dc.contributor.author Khang, Young-Ho
dc.contributor.author Kiechl, Stefan
dc.contributor.author Kim, Jeongseon
dc.contributor.author Kolsteren, Patrick
dc.contributor.author Kratzer, Wolfgang
dc.contributor.author Kromhout, Daan
dc.contributor.author Kujala, Urho M.
dc.contributor.author Kula, Krzysztof
dc.contributor.author Kyobutungi, Catherine
dc.contributor.author Laatikainen, Tiina
dc.contributor.author Lachat, Carl
dc.contributor.author Laid, Youcef
dc.contributor.author Lam, Tai Hing
dc.contributor.author Landrove, Orlando
dc.contributor.author Lanska, Vera
dc.contributor.author Lappas, Georg
dc.contributor.author Laxmaiah, Avula
dc.contributor.author Leclercq, Catherine
dc.contributor.author Lee, Jeannette
dc.contributor.author Lee, Jeonghee
dc.contributor.author Lehtimaki, Terho
dc.contributor.author Lekhraj, Rampal
dc.contributor.author Leon-Munoz, Luz M.
dc.contributor.author Li, Yanping
dc.contributor.author Lim, Wei-Yen
dc.contributor.author Fernanda Lima-Costa, M.
dc.contributor.author Lin, Hsien-Ho
dc.contributor.author Lin, Xu
dc.contributor.author Lissner, Lauren
dc.contributor.author Lorbeer, Roberto
dc.contributor.author Eugenio Lozano, Jose
dc.contributor.author Luksiene, Dalia
dc.contributor.author Lundqvist, Annamari
dc.contributor.author Lytsy, Per
dc.contributor.author Ma, Guansheng
dc.contributor.author Machado-Coelho, George L. L.
dc.contributor.author Machi, Suka
dc.contributor.author Maggi, Stefania
dc.contributor.author Magliano, Dianna J.
dc.contributor.author Makdisse, Marcia
dc.contributor.author Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna
dc.contributor.author Manios, Yannis
dc.contributor.author Manzato, Enzo
dc.contributor.author Margozzini, Paula
dc.contributor.author Marques-Vidal, Pedro
dc.contributor.author Martorell, Reynaldo
dc.contributor.author Masoodi, Shariq R.
dc.contributor.author Mathiesen, Ellisiv B.
dc.contributor.author Matsha, Tandi E.
dc.contributor.author Mbanya, Jean Claude N.
dc.contributor.author McFarlane, Shelly R.
dc.contributor.author McGarvey, Stephen T.
dc.contributor.author McLachlan, Stela
dc.contributor.author McNulty, Breige A.
dc.contributor.author Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia
dc.contributor.author Meirhaeghe, Aline
dc.contributor.author Menezes, Ana Maria B.
dc.contributor.author Merat, Shahin
dc.contributor.author Meshram, Indrapal I.
dc.contributor.author Mi, Jie
dc.contributor.author Francisco Miquel, Juan
dc.contributor.author Miranda, J. Jaime
dc.contributor.author Mohamed, Mostafa K.
dc.contributor.author Mohammad, Kazem
dc.contributor.author Mohammadifard, Noushin
dc.contributor.author Mohan, Viswanathan
dc.contributor.author Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd
dc.contributor.author Moller, Niels C.
dc.contributor.author Molnar, Denes
dc.contributor.author Mondo, Charles K.
dc.contributor.author Morejon, Alain
dc.contributor.author Moreno, Luis A.
dc.contributor.author Morgan, Karen
dc.contributor.author Moschonis, George
dc.contributor.author Mossakowska, Malgorzata
dc.contributor.author Mostafa, Aya
dc.contributor.author Mota, Jorge
dc.contributor.author Motta, Jorge
dc.contributor.author Mu, Thet Thet
dc.contributor.author Muiesan, Maria Lorenza
dc.contributor.author Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina
dc.contributor.author Mursu, Jaakko
dc.contributor.author Nagel, Gabriele
dc.contributor.author Namesna, Jana
dc.contributor.author Nang, Ei Ei K.
dc.contributor.author Nangia, Vinay B.
dc.contributor.author Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva
dc.contributor.author Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba
dc.contributor.author Nenko, Ilona
dc.contributor.author Nervi, Flavio
dc.contributor.author Nguyen, Nguyen D.
dc.contributor.author Nguyen, Quang Ngoc
dc.contributor.author Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E.
dc.contributor.author Ning, Guang
dc.contributor.author Ninomiya, Toshiharu
dc.contributor.author Noale, Marianna
dc.contributor.author Noto, Davide
dc.contributor.author Al Nsour, Mohannad
dc.contributor.author Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M.
dc.contributor.author Oh, Kyungwon
dc.contributor.author Onat, Altan
dc.contributor.author Ordunez, Pedro
dc.contributor.author Osmond, Clive
dc.contributor.author Otero, Johanna A.
dc.contributor.author Owusu-Dabo, Ellis
dc.contributor.author Pahomova, Elena
dc.contributor.author Palmieri, Luigi
dc.contributor.author Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra
dc.contributor.author Panza, Francesco
dc.contributor.author Parsaeian, Mahboubeh
dc.contributor.author Peixoto, Sergio Viana
dc.contributor.author Peltonen, Markku
dc.contributor.author Peters, Annette
dc.contributor.author Peykari, Niloofar
dc.contributor.author Pham, Son Thai
dc.contributor.author Pilav, Aida
dc.contributor.author Pitakaka, Freda
dc.contributor.author Piwonska, Aleksandra
dc.contributor.author Piwonski, Jerzy
dc.contributor.author Plans-Rubio, Pedro
dc.contributor.author Porta, Miquel
dc.contributor.author Portegies, Marileen L. P.
dc.contributor.author Poustchi, Hossein
dc.contributor.author Pradeepa, Rajendra
dc.contributor.author Price, Jacqueline F.
dc.contributor.author Punab, Margus
dc.contributor.author Qasrawi, Radwan F.
dc.contributor.author Qorbani, Mostafa
dc.contributor.author Radisauskas, Ricardas
dc.contributor.author Rahman, Mahmudur
dc.contributor.author Raitakari, Olli
dc.contributor.author Rao, Sudha Ramachandra
dc.contributor.author Ramachandran, Ambady
dc.contributor.author Ramke, Jacqueline
dc.contributor.author Ramos, Rafel
dc.contributor.author Rampal, Sanjay
dc.contributor.author Rathmann, Wolfgang
dc.contributor.author Redon, Josep
dc.contributor.author Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M.
dc.contributor.author Rigo, Fernando
dc.contributor.author Robinson, Sian M.
dc.contributor.author Robitaille, Cynthia
dc.contributor.author Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando
dc.contributor.author del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria
dc.contributor.author Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A.
dc.contributor.author Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba
dc.contributor.author Ronkainen, Kimmo
dc.contributor.author Rosengren, Annika
dc.contributor.author Rubinstein, Adolfo
dc.contributor.author Rui, Ornelas
dc.contributor.author Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca
dc.contributor.author Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V.
dc.contributor.author Rutkowski, Marcin
dc.contributor.author Sabanayagam, Charumathi
dc.contributor.author Sachdev, Harshpal S.
dc.contributor.author Saidi, Olfa
dc.contributor.author Sakarya, Sibel
dc.contributor.author Salanave, Benoit
dc.contributor.author Salonen, Jukka T.
dc.contributor.author Salvetti, Massimo
dc.contributor.author Sanchez-Abanto, Jose
dc.contributor.author Santos, Diana
dc.contributor.author dos Santos, Renata Nunes
dc.contributor.author Santos, Rute
dc.contributor.author Saramies, Jouko L.
dc.contributor.author Sardinha, Luis B.
dc.contributor.author Sarrafzadegan, Nizal
dc.contributor.author Saum, Kai-Uwe
dc.contributor.author Scazufca, Marcia
dc.contributor.author Schargrodsky, Herman
dc.contributor.author Scheidt-Nave, Christa
dc.contributor.author Sein, Aye Aye
dc.contributor.author Sharma, Sanjb K.
dc.contributor.author Shaw, Jonathan E.
dc.contributor.author Shibuya, Kenji
dc.contributor.author Shin, Youchan
dc.contributor.author Shiri, Rahman
dc.contributor.author Siantar, Rosalynn
dc.contributor.author Sibai, Abla M.
dc.contributor.author Simon, Mary
dc.contributor.author Simons, Judith
dc.contributor.author Simons, Leon A.
dc.contributor.author Sjostrom, Michael
dc.contributor.author Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta
dc.contributor.author Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw
dc.contributor.author Smeeth, Liam
dc.contributor.author Snijder, Marieke B.
dc.contributor.author So, Hung-Kwan
dc.contributor.author Sobngwi, Eugene
dc.contributor.author Soderberg, Stefan
dc.contributor.author Solfrizzi, Vincenzo
dc.contributor.author Sonestedt, Emily
dc.contributor.author Soumare, Aicha
dc.contributor.author Staessen, Jan A.
dc.contributor.author Stathopoulou, Maria G.
dc.contributor.author Steene-Johannessen, Jostein
dc.contributor.author Stehle, Peter
dc.contributor.author Stein, Aryeh D.
dc.contributor.author Stessman, Jochanan
dc.contributor.author Stoeckl, Doris
dc.contributor.author Stokwiszewski, Jakub
dc.contributor.author Stronks, Karien
dc.contributor.author Strufaldi, Maria Wany
dc.contributor.author Sun, Chien-An
dc.contributor.author Sundstrom, Johan
dc.contributor.author Sung, Yn-Tz
dc.contributor.author Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul
dc.contributor.author Sy, Rody G.
dc.contributor.author Tai, E. Shyong
dc.contributor.author Tamosiunas, Abdonas
dc.contributor.author Tang, Line
dc.contributor.author Tarawneh, Mohammed
dc.contributor.author Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B.
dc.contributor.author Taylor, Anne
dc.contributor.author Theobald, Holger
dc.contributor.author Thijs, Lutgarde
dc.contributor.author Thuesen, Betina H.
dc.contributor.author Tolonen, Hanna K.
dc.contributor.author Tolstrup, Janne S.
dc.contributor.author Topbas, Murat
dc.contributor.author Torrent, Maties
dc.contributor.author Traissac, Pierre
dc.contributor.author Trinh, Oanh T. H.
dc.contributor.author Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K.
dc.contributor.author Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka
dc.contributor.author Turley, Maria L.
dc.contributor.author Tzourio, Christophe
dc.contributor.author Ueda, Peter
dc.contributor.author Ukoli, Flora A. M.
dc.contributor.author Ulmer, Hanno
dc.contributor.author Uusitalo, Hannu M. T.
dc.contributor.author Valdivia, Gonzalo
dc.contributor.author Valvi, Damaskini
dc.contributor.author van Rossem, Lenie
dc.contributor.author van Valkengoed, Irene G. M.
dc.contributor.author Vanderschueren, Dirk
dc.contributor.author Vanuzzo, Diego
dc.contributor.author Vega, Tomas
dc.contributor.author Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo
dc.contributor.author Veronesi, Giovanni
dc.contributor.author Verschuren, W. M. Monique
dc.contributor.author Verstraeten, Roosmarijn
dc.contributor.author Viet, Lucie
dc.contributor.author Vioque, Jesus
dc.contributor.author Virtanen, Jyrki K.
dc.contributor.author Viswanathan, Bharathi
dc.contributor.author Vollenweider, Peter
dc.contributor.author Voutilainen, Sari
dc.contributor.author Vrijheid, Martine
dc.contributor.author Wade, Alisha N.
dc.contributor.author Wagner, Aline
dc.contributor.author Walton, Janette
dc.contributor.author Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan
dc.contributor.author Wang, Feng
dc.contributor.author Wang, Ming-Dong
dc.contributor.author Wang, Qian
dc.contributor.author Wang, Ya Xing
dc.contributor.author Wannamethee, S. Goya
dc.contributor.author Weerasekera, Deepa
dc.contributor.author Whincup, Peter H.
dc.contributor.author Widhalm, Kurt
dc.contributor.author Wijga, Alet H.
dc.contributor.author Wilks, Rainford J.
dc.contributor.author Willeit, Johann
dc.contributor.author Wilsgaard, Tom
dc.contributor.author Wojtyniak, Bogdan
dc.contributor.author Wong, Tien Yin
dc.contributor.author Woo, Jean
dc.contributor.author Woodward, Mark
dc.contributor.author Wu, Frederick C.
dc.contributor.author Wu, Shou Ling
dc.contributor.author Xu, Haiquan
dc.contributor.author Yan, Weili
dc.contributor.author Yang, Xiaoguang
dc.contributor.author Ye, Xingwang
dc.contributor.author Yoshihara, Akihiro
dc.contributor.author Younger-Coleman, Novie O.
dc.contributor.author Zambon, Sabina
dc.contributor.author Zargar, Abdul Hamid
dc.contributor.author Zdrojewski, Tomasz
dc.contributor.author Zhao, Wenhua
dc.contributor.author Zheng, Yingfeng
dc.contributor.author Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
dc.contributor.author NCD Risk Factor Collaboration
dc.date.accessioned 2019-02-22T14:55:30Z
dc.date.available 2019-02-22T14:55:30Z
dc.date.issued 2016
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/5767
dc.description.abstract Background: One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods: We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Polynesia and Micronesia. In 2014, American Samoa had the highest national prevalence of diabetes (>30% in both sexes), with age-standardised adult prevalence also higher than 25% in some other islands in Polynesia and Micronesia. If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global target of halting the rise in the prevalence of diabetes by 2025 at the 2010 level worldwide is lower than 1% for men and is 1% for women. Only nine countries for men and 29 countries for women, mostly in western Europe, have a 50% or higher probability of meeting the global target. Interpretation Since 1980, age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adults has increased, or at best remained unchanged, in every country. Together with population growth and ageing, this rise has led to a near quadrupling of the number of adults with diabetes worldwide. The burden of diabetes, both in terms of prevalence and number of adults affected, has increased faster in low-income and middle-income countries than in high-income countries. en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher Elsevier
dc.relation.ispartofseries Lancet
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject Worldwide trends en_US
dc.subject diabetes en_US
dc.subject pooled analysis en_US
dc.title Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.00
dc.relation.issn 1474-547X


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