Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Avdicova, Maria; Aris, Tahir; Sakarya, Sibel; Chiou, Shu-Ti; Lanska, Vera; Chaturvedi, Nishi; Cifkova, Renata; Dhana, Klodian; Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia; Ali, Mohammed K.; Cheng, Ching-Yu; McNulty, Breige A.; Meirhaeghe, Aline; Zambon, Sabina; Hussieni, Abdullatif S.; Kim, Jeongseon; Bixby, Honor; Zhao, Wenhua; Landrove, Orlando; Price, Jacqueline F.; Drygas, Wojciech; Jasienska, Grazyna; Can, Gunay; Schargrodsky, Herman; Stronks, Karien; Dzerve, Vilnis; Stathopoulou, Maria G.; Gianfagna, Francesco; Bandosz, Piotr; Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B.; Cowan, Melanie J.; Iacoviello, Licia; Franco, Maria do Carmo; Theobald, Holger; Wagner, Aline; Manios, Yannis; So, Hung-Kwan; Chamukuttan, Snehalatha; Wang, Qian; Cabrera de Leon, Antonio; Khalili, Davood; Rao, Sudha Ramachandra; Pilav, Aida; Nangia, Vinay B.; Foeger, Bernhard; Ghasemian, Anoosheh; Ho, Suzanne C.; Vanuzzo, Diego; Magliano, Dianna J.; Zhou, Bin; Machi, Suka; Sardinha, Luis B.; Tai, E. Shyong; Djalalinia, Shirin; Forslund, Ann-Sofie; Breckenkamp, Juergen; Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani; Zheng, Yingfeng; Du, Yong; Sung, Yn-Tz; Mathiesen, Ellisiv B.; Shiri, Rahman; Francis, Damian K.; Peters, Annette; Kadir, Khalid Abdul; Lin, Xu; Deschamps, Valerie; Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra; Tolonen, Hanna K.; Bruno, Graziella; Brian, Garry R.; Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul; Carvalho, Maria J.; Leclercq, Catherine; Vioque, Jesus; Bi, Yufang; Motta, Jorge; Jafar, Tazeen; Fernanda Lima-Costa, M.; Weerasekera, Deepa; Sun, Chien-An; Furusawa, Takuro; Zuniga Cisneros, Julio; Grafnetter, Dusan; Moller, Niels C.; Sibai, Abla M.; Gates, Louise; Mursu, Jaakko; Wang, Ming-Dong; Felix-Redondo, Francisco J.; Htet, Aung Soe; Luksiene, Dalia; Peltonen, Markku; Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V.; Virtanen, Jyrki K.; Ibrahim, M. Mohsen; Chen, Chien-Jen; Cho, Yumi; Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F.; Lissner, Lauren; Kratzer, Wolfgang; Wojtyniak, Bogdan; Boissonnet, Carlos P.; Noto, Davide; Hambleton, Ian R.; Gu, Dongfeng; Nang, Ei Ei K.; Smeeth, Liam; Lin, Hsien-Ho; Trinh, Oanh T. H.; Mondo, Charles K.; Concin, Hans; Eriksen, Louise; Hu, Yang; Iwasaki, Masanori; Ferrari, Marika; Peykari, Niloofar; Wannamethee, S. Goya; Dallongeville, Jean; Bovet, Pascal; Frontera, Guillermo; Bennett, James E.; Nenko, Ilona; Benet, Mikhail; Feskens, Edith J. M.; Lam, Tai Hing; Tarawneh, Mohammed; Raitakari, Olli; Sarrafzadegan, Nizal; Kula, Krzysztof; Foo, Leng Huat; Strufaldi, Maria Wany; Carlsson, Axel C.; Rosengren, Annika; Cooper, Rachel; Guerrero, Ramiro; Kromhout, Daan; Scazufca, Marcia; Adams, Robert; Rahman, Mahmudur; Heidemann, Christin; Sachdev, Harshpal S.; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh; Crujeiras, Ana B.; Thijs, Lutgarde; Ulmer, Hanno; Rui, Ornelas; Manzato, Enzo; Veronesi, Giovanni; Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva; Jonas, Jost B.; Doua, Kouamelan; Paciorek, Christopher J.; Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd; Sy, Rody G.; Zargar, Abdul Hamid; Bugge, Anna; Guan, Ong Peng; Gaciong, Zbigniew; Kolsteren, Patrick; Lee, Jeonghee; Matsha, Tandi E.; Mostafa, Aya; Whincup, Peter H.; Panza, Francesco; Santos, Rute; Soumare, Aicha; Morgan, Karen; Qasrawi, Radwan F.; Hajifathalian, Kaveh; Abdeen, Ziad A.; Bhargava, Santosh K.; Gonzalez Gross, Marcela; Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A.; Hofman, Albert; Santos, Diana; Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M.; Stoeckl, Doris; Amouyel, Philippe; Thuesen, Betina H.; Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo; Ikeda, Nayu; Willeit, Johann; Kaur, Prabhdeep; Htay, Thein Thein; Turley, Maria L.; Jacobs, Jeremy M.; Dankner, Rachel; Nguyen, Quang Ngoc; Sobngwi, Eugene; Francisco Miquel, Juan; Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando; Hwalla, Nahla; Huybrechts, Inge; Barbagallo, Carlo M.; del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria; Verschuren, W. M. Monique; Leon-Munoz, Luz M.; Zdrojewski, Tomasz; Simon, Mary; Shibuya, Kenji; Voutilainen, Sari; Assah, Felix K.; Xu, Haiquan; Laatikainen, Tiina; Guessous, Idris; Rutkowski, Marcin; Rampal, Sanjay; Rivera, Juan A.; Saidi, Olfa; Ferguson, Trevor S.; Lundqvist, Annamari; D'Arrigo, Graziella; Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna; Molnar, Denes; Fernandez-Berges, Daniel; Batieha, Anwar M.; Saramies, Jouko L.; Kafatos, Anthony; Arveiler, Dominique; Rubinstein, Adolfo; Namesna, Jana; Grontved, Anders; Deepa, Mohan; Wang, Feng; Cottel, Dominique; Younger-Coleman, Novie O.; Peixoto, Sergio Viana; Lekhraj, Rampal; Kengne, Andre P.; Uusitalo, Hannu M. 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Arfan; Sein, Aye Aye; Boehm, Bernhard O.; Topbas, Murat; Widhalm, Kurt; Torrent, Maties; Amuzu, Antoinette; Bjertness, Espen; Baur, Louise A.; Eggertsen, Robert; Porta, Miquel; Palmieri, Luigi; Andersen, Lars Bo; Shin, Youchan; Vollenweider, Peter; Bernabé Ortiz, Antonio; Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer; Kersting, Mathilde; Sanchez-Abanto, Jose; Wu, Shou Ling; Machado-Coelho, George L. L.; Hata, Jun; Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta; Joshi, Pradeep; Wu, Frederick C.; Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka; Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba; McFarlane, Shelly R.; Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P.; Snijder, Marieke B.; van Valkengoed, Irene G. M.; Lorbeer, Roberto; Tzourio, Christophe; Sundstrom, Johan; Vanderschueren, Dirk; Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A.; Valdivia, Gonzalo; Cowell, Chris; Wilsgaard, Tom; Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E.; Finn, Joseph D.; Pahomova, Elena; Claessens, Frank; Redon, Josep; Blokstra, Anneke; De Henauw, Stefaan; Piwonski, Jerzy; Scheidt-Nave, Christa; Casas, Juan-Pablo; Gottrand, Frederic; Bjerregaard, Peter; Azizi, Fereidoun; Islam, Muhammad; Menezes, Ana Maria B.; Farzadfar, Farshad; Siantar, Rosalynn; Ukoli, Flora A. M.; Viswanathan, Bharathi; Lee, Jeannette; Vega, Tomas; Ninomiya, Toshiharu; Castetbon, Katia; Rigo, Fernando; Gutierrez, Laura; Hormiga, Claudia M.; Valvi, Damaskini; Egbagbe, Eruke E.; Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba; Robinson, Sian M.

dc.contributor.author	Zhou, Bin
dc.contributor.author	Lu, Yuan
dc.contributor.author	Hajifathalian, Kaveh
dc.contributor.author	Bentham, James
dc.contributor.author	Di Cesare, Mariachiara
dc.contributor.author	Danaei, Goodarz
dc.contributor.author	Bixby, Honor
dc.contributor.author	Cowan, Melanie J.
dc.contributor.author	Ali, Mohammed K.
dc.contributor.author	Taddei, Cristina
dc.contributor.author	Lo, Wei-Cheng
dc.contributor.author	Reis-Santos, Barbara
dc.contributor.author	Stevens, Gretchen A.
dc.contributor.author	Riley, Leanne M.
dc.contributor.author	Miranda, J. Jaime
dc.contributor.author	Bjerregaard, Peter
dc.contributor.author	Rivera, Juan A.
dc.contributor.author	Fouad, Heba M.
dc.contributor.author	Ma, Guansheng
dc.contributor.author	Mbanya, Jean Claude N.
dc.contributor.author	McGarvey, Stephen T.
dc.contributor.author	Mohan, Viswanathan
dc.contributor.author	Onat, Altan
dc.contributor.author	Ramachandran, Ambady
dc.contributor.author	Ben Romdhane, Habiba
dc.contributor.author	Paciorek, Christopher J.
dc.contributor.author	Bennett, James E.
dc.contributor.author	Ezzati, Majid
dc.contributor.author	Abdeen, Ziad A.
dc.contributor.author	Kadir, Khalid Abdul
dc.contributor.author	Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.
dc.contributor.author	Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin
dc.contributor.author	Adams, Robert
dc.contributor.author	Aekplakorn, Wichai
dc.contributor.author	Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A.
dc.contributor.author	Agyemang, Charles
dc.contributor.author	Ahmadvand, Alireza
dc.contributor.author	Al-Othman, Amani Rashed
dc.contributor.author	Alkerwi, Ala'a
dc.contributor.author	Amouyel, Philippe
dc.contributor.author	Amuzu, Antoinette
dc.contributor.author	Andersen, Lars Bo
dc.contributor.author	Anderssen, Sigmund A.
dc.contributor.author	Anjana, Ranjit Mohan
dc.contributor.author	Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer
dc.contributor.author	Aris, Tahir
dc.contributor.author	Arlappa, Nimmathota
dc.contributor.author	Arveiler, Dominique
dc.contributor.author	Assah, Felix K.
dc.contributor.author	Avdicova, Maria
dc.contributor.author	Azizi, Fereidoun
dc.contributor.author	Balakrishna, Nagalla
dc.contributor.author	Bandosz, Piotr
dc.contributor.author	Barbagallo, Carlo M.
dc.contributor.author	Barcelo, Alberto
dc.contributor.author	Batieha, Anwar M.
dc.contributor.author	Baur, Louise A.
dc.contributor.author	Ben Romdhane, Habiba
dc.contributor.author	Benet, Mikhail
dc.contributor.author	Bernabé Ortiz, Antonio
dc.contributor.author	Bharadwaj, Sumit
dc.contributor.author	Bhargava, Santosh K.
dc.contributor.author	Bi, Yufang
dc.contributor.author	Bjerregaard, Peter
dc.contributor.author	Bjertness, Espen
dc.contributor.author	Bjertness, Marius B.
dc.contributor.author	Bjorkelund, Cecilia
dc.contributor.author	Blokstra, Anneke
dc.contributor.author	Bo, Simona
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dc.contributor.author	Boissonnet, Carlos P.
dc.contributor.author	Bovet, Pascal
dc.contributor.author	Brajkovich, Imperia
dc.contributor.author	Breckenkamp, Juergen
dc.contributor.author	Brenner, Hermann
dc.contributor.author	Brewster, Lizzy M.
dc.contributor.author	Brian, Garry R.
dc.contributor.author	Bruno, Graziella
dc.contributor.author	Bugge, Anna
dc.contributor.author	Cabrera de Leon, Antonio
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dc.contributor.author	Candido, Ana Paula C.
dc.contributor.author	Capuano, Vincenzo
dc.contributor.author	Carlsson, Axel C.
dc.contributor.author	Carvalho, Maria J.
dc.contributor.author	Casanueva, Felipe F.
dc.contributor.author	Casas, Juan-Pablo
dc.contributor.author	Caserta, Carmelo A.
dc.contributor.author	Castetbon, Katia
dc.contributor.author	Chamukuttan, Snehalatha
dc.contributor.author	Chaturvedi, Nishi
dc.contributor.author	Chen, Chien-Jen
dc.contributor.author	Chen, Fangfang
dc.contributor.author	Chen, Shuohua
dc.contributor.author	Cheng, Ching-Yu
dc.contributor.author	Chetrit, Angela
dc.contributor.author	Chiou, Shu-Ti
dc.contributor.author	Cho, Yumi
dc.contributor.author	Chudek, Jerzy
dc.contributor.author	Cifkova, Renata
dc.contributor.author	Claessens, Frank
dc.contributor.author	Concin, Hans
dc.contributor.author	Cooper, Cyrus
dc.contributor.author	Cooper, Rachel
dc.contributor.author	Costanzo, Simona
dc.contributor.author	Cottel, Dominique
dc.contributor.author	Cowell, Chris
dc.contributor.author	Crujeiras, Ana B.
dc.contributor.author	D'Arrigo, Graziella
dc.contributor.author	Dallongeville, Jean
dc.contributor.author	Dankner, Rachel
dc.contributor.author	Dauchet, Luc
dc.contributor.author	de Gaetano, Giovanni
dc.contributor.author	De Henauw, Stefaan
dc.contributor.author	Deepa, Mohan
dc.contributor.author	Dehghan, Abbas
dc.contributor.author	Deschamps, Valerie
dc.contributor.author	Dhana, Klodian
dc.contributor.author	Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F.
dc.contributor.author	Djalalinia, Shirin
dc.contributor.author	Doua, Kouamelan
dc.contributor.author	Drygas, Wojciech
dc.contributor.author	Du, Yong
dc.contributor.author	Dzerve, Vilnis
dc.contributor.author	Egbagbe, Eruke E.
dc.contributor.author	Eggertsen, Robert
dc.contributor.author	El Ati, Jalila
dc.contributor.author	Elosua, Roberto
dc.contributor.author	Erasmus, Rajiv T.
dc.contributor.author	Erem, Cihangir
dc.contributor.author	Ergor, Gul
dc.contributor.author	Eriksen, Louise
dc.contributor.author	Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge
dc.contributor.author	Fall, Caroline H.
dc.contributor.author	Farzadfar, Farshad
dc.contributor.author	Felix-Redondo, Francisco J.
dc.contributor.author	Ferguson, Trevor S.
dc.contributor.author	Fernandez-Berges, Daniel
dc.contributor.author	Ferrari, Marika
dc.contributor.author	Ferreccio, Catterina
dc.contributor.author	Feskens, Edith J. M.
dc.contributor.author	Finn, Joseph D.
dc.contributor.author	Foeger, Bernhard
dc.contributor.author	Foo, Leng Huat
dc.contributor.author	Forslund, Ann-Sofie
dc.contributor.author	Fouad, Heba M.
dc.contributor.author	Francis, Damian K.
dc.contributor.author	Franco, Maria do Carmo
dc.contributor.author	Franco, Oscar H.
dc.contributor.author	Frontera, Guillermo
dc.contributor.author	Furusawa, Takuro
dc.contributor.author	Gaciong, Zbigniew
dc.contributor.author	Garnett, Sarah P.
dc.contributor.author	Gaspoz, Jean-Michel
dc.contributor.author	Gasull, Magda
dc.contributor.author	Gates, Louise
dc.contributor.author	Geleijnse, Johanna M.
dc.contributor.author	Ghasemian, Anoosheh
dc.contributor.author	Ghimire, Anup
dc.contributor.author	Giampaoli, Simona
dc.contributor.author	Gianfagna, Francesco
dc.contributor.author	Giovannelli, Jonathan
dc.contributor.author	Giwercman, Aleksander
dc.contributor.author	Gonzalez Gross, Marcela
dc.contributor.author	Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P.
dc.contributor.author	Bonet Gorbea, Mariano
dc.contributor.author	Gottrand, Frederic
dc.contributor.author	Grafnetter, Dusan
dc.contributor.author	Grodzicki, Tomasz
dc.contributor.author	Grontved, Anders
dc.contributor.author	Gruden, Grabriella
dc.contributor.author	Gu, Dongfeng
dc.contributor.author	Guan, Ong Peng
dc.contributor.author	Guerrero, Ramiro
dc.contributor.author	Guessous, Idris
dc.contributor.author	Guimaraes, Andre L.
dc.contributor.author	Gutierrez, Laura
dc.contributor.author	Hambleton, Ian R.
dc.contributor.author	Hardy, Rebecca
dc.contributor.author	Kumar, Rachakulla Hari
dc.contributor.author	Hata, Jun
dc.contributor.author	Heidemann, Christin
dc.contributor.author	Herrala, Sauli
dc.contributor.author	Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani
dc.contributor.author	Ho, Sai Yin
dc.contributor.author	Ho, Suzanne C.
dc.contributor.author	Hofman, Albert
dc.contributor.author	Hormiga, Claudia M.
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dc.contributor.author	Houti, Leila
dc.contributor.author	Howitt, Christina
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dc.contributor.author	Htet, Aung Soe
dc.contributor.author	Htike, Maung Maung Than
dc.contributor.author	Htike, Maung Maung Than
dc.contributor.author	Hu, Yang
dc.contributor.author	Hussieni, Abdullatif S.
dc.contributor.author	Huybrechts, Inge
dc.contributor.author	Hwalla, Nahla
dc.contributor.author	Iacoviello, Licia
dc.contributor.author	Iannone, Anna G.
dc.contributor.author	Ibrahim, M. Mohsen
dc.contributor.author	Ikeda, Nayu
dc.contributor.author	Ikram, M. Arfan
dc.contributor.author	Irazola, Vilma E.
dc.contributor.author	Islam, Muhammad
dc.contributor.author	Iwasaki, Masanori
dc.contributor.author	Jacobs, Jeremy M.
dc.contributor.author	Jafar, Tazeen
dc.contributor.author	Jamil, Kazi M.
dc.contributor.author	Jasienska, Grazyna
dc.contributor.author	Jiang, Chao Qiang
dc.contributor.author	Jonas, Jost B.
dc.contributor.author	Joshi, Pradeep
dc.contributor.author	Kafatos, Anthony
dc.contributor.author	Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra
dc.contributor.author	Kasaeian, Amir
dc.contributor.author	Katz, Joanne
dc.contributor.author	Kaur, Prabhdeep
dc.contributor.author	Kavousi, Maryam
dc.contributor.author	Kelishadi, Roya
dc.contributor.author	Kengne, Andre P.
dc.contributor.author	Kersting, Mathilde
dc.contributor.author	Khader, Yousef Saleh
dc.contributor.author	Khalili, Davood
dc.contributor.author	Khang, Young-Ho
dc.contributor.author	Kiechl, Stefan
dc.contributor.author	Kim, Jeongseon
dc.contributor.author	Kolsteren, Patrick
dc.contributor.author	Kratzer, Wolfgang
dc.contributor.author	Kromhout, Daan
dc.contributor.author	Kujala, Urho M.
dc.contributor.author	Kula, Krzysztof
dc.contributor.author	Kyobutungi, Catherine
dc.contributor.author	Laatikainen, Tiina
dc.contributor.author	Lachat, Carl
dc.contributor.author	Laid, Youcef
dc.contributor.author	Lam, Tai Hing
dc.contributor.author	Landrove, Orlando
dc.contributor.author	Lanska, Vera
dc.contributor.author	Lappas, Georg
dc.contributor.author	Laxmaiah, Avula
dc.contributor.author	Leclercq, Catherine
dc.contributor.author	Lee, Jeannette
dc.contributor.author	Lee, Jeonghee
dc.contributor.author	Lehtimaki, Terho
dc.contributor.author	Lekhraj, Rampal
dc.contributor.author	Leon-Munoz, Luz M.
dc.contributor.author	Li, Yanping
dc.contributor.author	Lim, Wei-Yen
dc.contributor.author	Fernanda Lima-Costa, M.
dc.contributor.author	Lin, Hsien-Ho
dc.contributor.author	Lin, Xu
dc.contributor.author	Lissner, Lauren
dc.contributor.author	Lorbeer, Roberto
dc.contributor.author	Eugenio Lozano, Jose
dc.contributor.author	Luksiene, Dalia
dc.contributor.author	Lundqvist, Annamari
dc.contributor.author	Lytsy, Per
dc.contributor.author	Ma, Guansheng
dc.contributor.author	Machado-Coelho, George L. L.
dc.contributor.author	Machi, Suka
dc.contributor.author	Maggi, Stefania
dc.contributor.author	Magliano, Dianna J.
dc.contributor.author	Makdisse, Marcia
dc.contributor.author	Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna
dc.contributor.author	Manios, Yannis
dc.contributor.author	Manzato, Enzo
dc.contributor.author	Margozzini, Paula
dc.contributor.author	Marques-Vidal, Pedro
dc.contributor.author	Martorell, Reynaldo
dc.contributor.author	Masoodi, Shariq R.
dc.contributor.author	Mathiesen, Ellisiv B.
dc.contributor.author	Matsha, Tandi E.
dc.contributor.author	Mbanya, Jean Claude N.
dc.contributor.author	McFarlane, Shelly R.
dc.contributor.author	McGarvey, Stephen T.
dc.contributor.author	McLachlan, Stela
dc.contributor.author	McNulty, Breige A.
dc.contributor.author	Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia
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dc.contributor.author	Widhalm, Kurt
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dc.contributor.author	Wilks, Rainford J.
dc.contributor.author	Willeit, Johann
dc.contributor.author	Wilsgaard, Tom
dc.contributor.author	Wojtyniak, Bogdan
dc.contributor.author	Wong, Tien Yin
dc.contributor.author	Woo, Jean
dc.contributor.author	Woodward, Mark
dc.contributor.author	Wu, Frederick C.
dc.contributor.author	Wu, Shou Ling
dc.contributor.author	Xu, Haiquan
dc.contributor.author	Yan, Weili
dc.contributor.author	Yang, Xiaoguang
dc.contributor.author	Ye, Xingwang
dc.contributor.author	Yoshihara, Akihiro
dc.contributor.author	Younger-Coleman, Novie O.
dc.contributor.author	Zambon, Sabina
dc.contributor.author	Zargar, Abdul Hamid
dc.contributor.author	Zdrojewski, Tomasz
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dc.contributor.author	NCD Risk Factor Collaboration
dc.date.accessioned	2019-02-22T14:55:30Z
dc.date.available	2019-02-22T14:55:30Z
dc.date.issued	2016
dc.identifier.uri	https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/5767
dc.description.abstract	Background: One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods: We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Polynesia and Micronesia. In 2014, American Samoa had the highest national prevalence of diabetes (>30% in both sexes), with age-standardised adult prevalence also higher than 25% in some other islands in Polynesia and Micronesia. If post-2000 trends continue, the probability of meeting the global target of halting the rise in the prevalence of diabetes by 2025 at the 2010 level worldwide is lower than 1% for men and is 1% for women. Only nine countries for men and 29 countries for women, mostly in western Europe, have a 50% or higher probability of meeting the global target. Interpretation Since 1980, age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adults has increased, or at best remained unchanged, in every country. Together with population growth and ageing, this rise has led to a near quadrupling of the number of adults with diabetes worldwide. The burden of diabetes, both in terms of prevalence and number of adults affected, has increased faster in low-income and middle-income countries than in high-income countries.	en_US
dc.language.iso	eng
dc.publisher	Elsevier
dc.relation.ispartofseries	Lancet
dc.rights	info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri	https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject	Worldwide trends	en_US
dc.subject	diabetes	en_US
dc.subject	pooled analysis	en_US
dc.title	Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants	en_US
dc.type	info:eu-repo/semantics/article
dc.identifier.doi	https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)00618-8
dc.subject.ocde	https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.00
dc.relation.issn	1474-547X

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M.; Meshram, Indrapal I.; Metspalu, Andres; Mi, Jie; Michaelsen, Kim F.; Mikkel, Kairit; Miller, Jody C.; Francisco Miquel, Juan; Jaime Miranda, J.; Misigoj-Durakovic, Marjeta; Mohamed, Mostafa K.; Mohammad, Kazem; Mohammadifard, Noushin; Mohan, Viswanathan; Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd; Molbo, Drude; Moller, Niels C.; Molnar, Denes; Mondo, Charles K.; Monterrubio, Eric A.; Monyeki, Kotsedi Daniel K.; Moreira, Leila B.; Morejon, Alain; Moreno, Luis A.; Morgan, Karen; Mortensen, Erik Lykke; Moschonis, George; Mossakowska, Malgorzata; Mostafa, Aya; Mota, Jorge; Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel; Motta, Jorge; Mu, Thet Thet; Muiesan, Maria Lorenza; Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina; Murphy, Neil; Mursu, Jaakko; Murtagh, Elaine M.; Musa, Kamarul Imran; Musil, Vera; Nagel, Gabriele; Nakamura, Harunobu; Namesna, Jana; Nang, Ei Ei K.; Nangia, Vinay B.; Nankap, Martin; Narake, Sameer; Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva; Nenko, Ilona; Neovius, Martin; Nervi, Flavio; Neuhauser, Hannelore K.; Nguyen, Nguyen D.; Nguyen, Quang Ngoc; Nieto-Martinez, Ramfis E.; Ning, Guang; Ninomiya, Toshiharu; Nishtar, Sania; Noale, Marianna; Norat, Teresa; Noto, Davide; Al Nsour, Mohannad; O'Reilly, Dermot; Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M.; Oh, Kyungwon; Olayan, Iman H.; Anselmo Olinto, Maria Teresa; Oltarzewski, Maciej; Omar, Mohd A.; Onat, Altan; Ordunez, Pedro; Ortiz, Ana P.; Osler, Merete; Osmond, Clive; Ostojic, Sergej M.; Otero, Johanna A.; Overvad, Kim; Paccaud, Fred Michel; Padez, Cristina; Pajak, Andrzej; Palli, Domenico; Palloni, Alberto; Palmieri, Luigi; Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra; Panza, Francesco; Parnell, Winsome R.; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh; Pednekar, Mangesh S.; Peeters, Petra H.; Peixoto, Sergio Viana; Pereira, Alexandre C.; Perez, Cynthia M.; Peters, Annette; Peykari, Niloofar; Pham, Son Thai; Pigeot, Iris; Pikhart, Hynek; Pilav, Aida; Pilotto, Lorenza; Pistelli, Francesco; Pitakaka, Freda; Piwonska, Aleksandra; Piwonski, Jerzy; Plans-Rubio, Pedro; Poh, Bee Koon; Porta, Miquel; Portegies, Marileen L. P.; Poulimeneas, Dimitrios; Pradeepa, Rajendra; Prashant, Mathur; Price, Jacqueline F.; Puiu, Maria; Punab, Margus; Qasrawi, Radwan F.; Qorbani, Mostafa; Bao, Tran Quoc; Radic, Ivana; Radisauskas, Ricardas; Rahman, Mahmudur; Raitakari, Olli; Raj, Manu; Rao, Sudha Ramachandra; Ramachandran, Ambady; Ramke, Jacqueline; Ramos, Rafel; Rampal, Sanjay; Rasmussen, Finn; Redon, Josep; Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M.; Ribeiro, Robespierre; Riboli, Elio; Rigo, Fernando; de Wit, Tobias Floris Rinke; Ritti-Dias, Raphael M.; Rivera, Juan A.; Robinson, Sian M.; Robitaille, Cynthia; Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando; del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria; Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A.; Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba; Rojroongwasinkul, Nipa; Romaguera, Dora; Ronkainen, Kimmo; Rosengren, Annika; Rouse, Ian; Rubinstein, Adolfo; Ruehli, Frank J.; Rui, Ornelas; Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca; Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. 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Background: Underweight and severe and morbid obesity are associated with highly elevated risks of adverse health outcomes. We estimated trends in mean body-mass index (BMI), which characterises its population distribution, ...
A century of trends in adult human height

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Jaime; Misigoj-Durakovic, Marjeta; Mohamed, Mostafa K.; Mohammad, Kazem; Mohammadifard, Noushin; Mohan, Viswanathan; Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd; Molbo, Drude; Moller, Niels C.; Molnar, Denes; Mondo, Charles K.; Monterrubio, Eric A.; Monyeki, Kotsedi Daniel K.; Moreira, Leila B.; Morejon, Alain; Moreno, Luis A.; Morgan, Karen; Mortensen, Erik Lykke; Moschonis, George; Mossakowska, Malgorzata; Mostafa, Aya; Mota, Jorge; Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel; Motta, Jorge; Mu, Thet Thet; Muiesan, Maria Lorenza; Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina; Murphy, Neil; Mursu, Jaakko; Murtagh, Elaine M.; Musa, Kamarul Imran; Musil, Vera; Nagel, Gabriele; Nakamura, Harunobu; Namesna, Jana; Nang, Ei Ei K.; Nangia, Vinay B.; Nankap, Martin; Narake, Sameer; Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva; Neal, William A.; Nenko, Ilona; Neovius, Martin; Nervi, Flavio; Neuhauser, Hannelore K.; Nguyen, Nguyen D.; Nguyen, Quang Ngoc; Nieto-Martinez, Ramfis E.; Ning, Guang; Ninomiya, Toshiharu; Nishtar, Sania; Noale, Marianna; Norat, Teresa; Noto, Davide; Al Nsour, Mohannad; O'Reilly, Dermot; Oh, Kyungwon; Olayan, Iman H.; Anselmo Olinto, Maria Teresa; Oltarzewski, Maciej; Omar, Mohd A.; Onat, Altan; Ordunez, Pedro; Ortiz, Ana P.; Osler, Merete; Osmond, Clive; Ostojic, Sergej M.; Otero, Johanna A.; Overvad, Kim; Owusu-Dabo, Ellis; Paccaud, Fred Michel; Padez, Cristina; Pahomova, Elena; Pajak, Andrzej; Palli, Domenico; Palloni, Alberto; Palmieri, Luigi; Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra; Panza, Francesco; Parnell, Winsome R.; Parsaeian, Mahboubeh; Pecin, Ivan; Pednekar, Mangesh S.; Peeters, Petra H.; Peixoto, Sergio Viana; Peltonen, Markku; Pereira, Alexandre C.; Perez, Cynthia M.; Peters, Annette; Petkeviciene, Janina; Peykari, Niloofar; Pham, Son Thai; Pigeot, Iris; Pikhart, Hynek; Pilav, Aida; Pilotto, Lorenza; Pistelli, Francesco; Pitakaka, Freda; Piwonska, Aleksandra; Plans-Rubio, Pedro; Poh, Bee Koon; Porta, Miquel; Portegies, Marileen L. P.; Poulimeneas, Dimitrios; Pradeepa, Rajendra; Prashant, Mathur; Price, Jacqueline F.; Puiu, Maria; Punab, Margus; Qasrawi, Radwan F.; Qorbani, Mostafa; Bao, Tran Quoc; Radic, Ivana; Radisauskas, Ricardas; Rahman, Mahmudur; Raitakari, Olli; Raj, Manu; Rao, Sudha Ramachandra; Ramachandran, Ambady; Ramke, Jacqueline; Ramos, Rafel; Rampal, Sanjay; Rasmussen, Finn; Redon, Josep; Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M.; Ribeiro, Robespierre; Riboli, Elio; Rigo, Fernando; de Wit, Tobias F. Rinke; Ritti-Dias, Raphael M.; Rivera, Juan A.; Robinson, Sian M.; Robitaille, Cynthia; Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando; del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria; Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A.; Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba; Rojroongwasinkul, Nipa; Romaguera, Dora; Ronkainen, Kimmo; Rosengren, Annika; Rouse, Ian; Rubinstein, Adolfo; Ruhli, Frank J.; Rui, Ornelas; Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca; Horimoto, Andrea R. V. Russo; Rutkowski, Marcin; Sabanayagam, Charumathi; Sachdev, Harshpal S.; Saidi, Olfa; Salanave, Benoit; Salazar Martinez, Eduardo; Salomaa, Veikko; Salonen, Jukka T.; Salvetti, Massimo; Sanchez-Abanto, Jose; Sandjaja; Sans, Susana; Santos, Diana A.; Santos, Osvaldo; dos Santos, Renata Nunes; Santos, Rute; Saramies, Jouko L.; Sardinha, Luis B.; Sarrafzadegan, Nizal; Saum, Kai-Uwe; Savva, Savvas C.; Scazufca, Marcia; Rosario, Angelika Schaffrath; Schargrodsky, Herman; Schienkiewitz, Anja; Schmidt, Ida Maria; Schneider, Ione J.; Schultsz, Constance; Schutte, Aletta E.; Sein, Aye Aye; Sen, Abhijit; Senbanjo, Idowu O.; Sepanlou, Sadaf G.; Shalnova, Svetlana A.; Sharma, Sanjib K.; Shaw, Jonathan E.; Shibuya, Kenji; Shin, Dong Wook; Shin, Youchan; Shiri, Rahman; Siantar, Rosalynn; Sibai, Abla M.; Silva, Antonio M.; Santos Silva, Diego Augusto; Simon, Mary; Simons, Judith; Simons, Leon A.; Sjostrom, Michael; Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta; Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw; Smeeth, Liam; Smith, Margaret C.; Snijder, Marieke B.; So, Hung-Kwan; Sobngwi, Eugene; Soderberg, Stefan; Soekatri, Moesijanti Y. 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Goya; Wareham, Nicholas; Weerasekera, Deepa; Whincup, Peter H.; Widhalm, Kurt; Widyahening, Indah S.; Wiecek, Andrzej; Wijga, Alet H.; Wilks, Rainford J.; Willeit, Johann; Wilsgaard, Tom; Wojtyniak, Bogdan; Wong, Jyh Eiin; Wong, Tien Yin; Woo, Jean; Woodward, Mark; Wu, Frederick C.; Wu, Jianfeng; Wu, Shou Ling; Xu, Haiquan; Xu, Liang; Yamborisut, Uruwan; Yan, Weili; Yang, Xiaoguang; Yardim, Nazan; Ye, Xingwang; Yiallouros, Panayiotis K.; Yoshihara, Akihiro; You, Qi Sheng; Younger-Coleman, Novie O.; Yusoff, Ahmad F.; Zainuddin, Ahmad A.; Zambon, Sabina; Zdrojewski, Tomasz; Zeng, Yi; Zhao, Dong; Zhao, Wenhua; Zheng, Yingfeng; Zhou, Maigeng; Zhu, Dan; Zimmermann, Esther; Cisneros, Julio Zuniga; NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (eLife Sciences Publications, 2016)

Being taller is associated with enhanced longevity, and higher education and earnings. We reanalysed 1472 population-based studies, with measurement of height on more than 18.6 million participants to estimate mean height ...
Indigenous and tribal peoples' health (The Lancet-Lowitja Institute Global Collaboration): a population study

Anderson, Ian; Robson, Bridget; Connolly, Michele; Al-Yaman, Fadwa; Bjertness, Espen; King, Alexandra; Tynan, Michael; Madden, Richard; Bang, Abhay; Coimbra, Carlos-E. A. Jr; Pesantes Villa, María Amalia; Amigo, Hugo; Andronov, Sergei; Armien, Blas; Ayala Obando, Daniel; Axelsson, Per; Bhatti, Zaid-Shakoor; Bhutta, Zulfiqar-Ahmed; Bjerregaard, Peter; Bjertness, Marius-B.; Briceno-Leon, Roberto; Broderstad, Ann-Ragnhild; Bustos, Patricia; Chongsuvivatwong, Virasakdi; Chu, Jiayou; Deji; Gouda, Jitendra; Harikumar, Rachakulla; Htay, Thein-Thein; Htet, Aung-Soe; Izugbara, Chimaraoke; Kamaka, Martina; King, Malcolm; Kodavanti, Mallikharjuna-Rao; Lara, Macarena; Laxmaiah, Avula; Lema, Claudia; Leon Taborda, Ana Maria; Liabsuetrakul, Tippawan; Lobanov, Andrey; Melhus, Marita; Meshram, Indrapal; Miranda, J. Jaime; Mu, Thet-Thet; Nagalla, Balkrishna; Nimmathota, Arlappa; Popov, Andrey-Ivanovich; Penuela Poveda, Ana Maria; Ram, Faujdar; Reich, Hannah; Santos, Ricardo-V.; Sein, Aye-Aye; Shekhar, Chander; Sherpa, Lhamo-Y.; Skold, Peter; Tano, Sofia; Tanywe, Asahngwa; Ugwu, Chidi; Ugwu, Fabian; Vapattanawong, Patama; Wan, Xia; Welch, James-R.; Yang, Gonghuan; Yang, Zhaoqing; Yap, Leslie (Elsevier, 2016)

BACKGROUND: International studies of the health of Indigenous and tribal peoples provide important public health insights. Reliable data are required for the development of policy and health services. Previous studies ...

Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

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