Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia

Recurrent TB: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the incidence rates and the proportions of relapses and reinfections

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dc.contributor.author Vega, Victor
dc.contributor.author Rodríguez, Sharon
dc.contributor.author Van der Stuyft, Patrick
dc.contributor.author Seas Ramos, Carlos Rafael
dc.contributor.author Otero Vegas, Larissa
dc.date.accessioned 2021-04-13T20:51:03Z
dc.date.available 2021-04-13T20:51:03Z
dc.date.issued 2021
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12866/9226
dc.description.abstract BACKGROUND: A recurrent tuberculosis (TB) episode results from exogenous reinfection or relapse after cure. The use of genotyping allows the distinction between both. METHODS: We did a systematic review and meta-analysis, using four databases to search for studies in English, French and Spanish published between 1 January 1980 and 30 September 2020 that assessed recurrences after TB treatment success and/or differentiated relapses from reinfections using genotyping. We calculated person years of follow-up and performed random-effects model meta-analysis for estimating pooled recurrent TB incidence rates and proportions of relapses and reinfections. We performed subgroup analyses by clinical-epidemiological factors and by methodological study characteristics. FINDINGS: The pooled recurrent TB incidence rate was 2.26 per 100 person years at risk (95% CI 1.87 to 2.73; 145 studies). Heterogeneity was high (I(2)=98%). Stratified pooled recurrence rates increased from 1.47 (95% CI 0.87 to 2.46) to 4.10 (95% CI 2.67 to 6.28) per 100 person years for studies conducted in low versus high TB incidence settings. Background HIV prevalence, treatment drug regimen, sample size and duration of follow-up contributed too. The pooled proportion of relapses was 70% (95% CI 63% to 77%; I²=85%; 48 studies). Heterogeneity was determined by background TB incidence, as demonstrated by pooled proportions of 83% (95% CI 75% to 89%) versus 59% (95% CI 42% to 74%) relapse for studies from settings with low versus high TB incidence, respectively. INTERPRETATION: The risk of recurrent TB is substantial and relapse is consistently the most frequent form of recurrence. Notwithstanding, with increasing background TB incidence the proportion of reinfections increases and the predominance of relapses among recurrences decreases. en_US
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher BMJ Publishing Group
dc.relation.ispartofseries Thorax
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess
dc.rights.uri https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject tuberculosis en_US
dc.subject clinical epidemiology en_US
dc.subject respiratory infection en_US
dc.title Recurrent TB: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the incidence rates and the proportions of relapses and reinfections en_US
dc.type info:eu-repo/semantics/review
dc.identifier.doi https://doi.org/10.1136/thoraxjnl-2020-215449
dc.subject.ocde https://purl.org/pe-repo/ocde/ford#3.02.07
dc.relation.issn 1468-3296


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